A major global survey indicates that much of the world believes Donald Trump’s “America First” agenda is inadvertently strengthening China’s global standing. The study, spanning 21 countries, found perceptions of U.S. influence declining while expectations for China’s rise are widespread.
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The European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR) poll reveals a significant shift. Majorities in nearly every country surveyed, including the U.S. and key European nations, expect China’s global influence to grow over the next decade. Conversely, few believe American influence will expand further.
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Notably, the U.S. is seen as a less reliable ally, especially in Europe. Only 16% of Europeans now view the U.S. as an ally, with 20% considering it a rival or enemy. This marks a stark decline in trust. At the same time, views of China are becoming more favorable in many non-Western nations like Brazil, India, and South Africa.
The war in Ukraine has also reshaped perceptions. Russians now see Europe as more of an adversary than the U.S., while Ukrainians look more to Brussels than Washington for support. Within Europe, the survey shows growing pessimism and support for increased defense spending, with many doubting the EU’s ability to act as an equal power to the U.S. or China.
Analysts conclude the poll depicts “a world in which U.S. actions were boosting China,” leaving Europe at risk of being squeezed in a shifting global order.
